What do polls mean




















In a poll recently , 8 out of 10 people stated that they were worried about debt. A recent opinion poll revealed that just one in four voters wants to see the party in power. See also survey noun. Voters' opinions will become clear at the polls. Next month the country will go to the polls in both presidential and parliamentary elections.

Each ordinary share carries one vote in the event of a poll of shareholders. See also exit poll. Gallup poll. Only one in five of those polled were in favour of the government's proposals. Examples of poll. A voter confronted with multiple polls that differ ought to consider a mixture of outcome distributions, making the problem more complicated still.

From the Cambridge English Corpus. Opinion polls generally gather information, albeit limited, about the socioeconomic background of respondents, including such items as age, gender, occupation, education, income, and family. The study that follows also examines the operation of the electoral system and the characteristics of the priests who emerged victorious from the polls. Finally, the participants are polled again to see how their opinions have changed.

The study ranges citizens' juries at the top, followed in descending order by deliberative polls, citizens' panels, public meetings, focus groups, and opinion polls. The problem is that there are no minute-by-minute polls to show how other voters are updating.

In labour polled Indeed, opinion polls in reported that 80 per cent of female respondents agreed that women with young children should not go out to work. Without polls, how could voters know which parties were likely to win, and hence how to vote strategically? Index rules appear regularly when optimizing polling systems. Control of polling in presence of vacations in heavy traffic with applications to satellite and mobile radio systems.

Because their experiments or polls show that people, when faced with certain kinds of decisions, do not make the rational decision. In addition, the polls may not be updated to reflect how other strategic voters will act. On the other hand, it would be a mistake to conclude that these polls do not convey real information. See all examples of poll. These examples are from corpora and from sources on the web. From the Editors at Merriam-Webster. Phrases Related to poll opinion poll polling booth polling day.

Style: MLA. More Definitions for poll. English Language Learners Definition of poll Entry 1 of 2. Kids Definition of poll Entry 1 of 2. We go to the polls tomorrow. Kids Definition of poll Entry 2 of 2. Medical Definition of poll Entry 1 of 3. Medical Definition of poll Entry 2 of 3. Medical Definition of poll Entry 3 of 3. Get Word of the Day daily email!

Test Your Vocabulary. Test your visual vocabulary with our question challenge! Love words? Need even more definitions? Just between us: it's complicated. The problems with state polls in do not mean that polling overall is broken. Yes, polls in the Upper Midwest systematically underestimated support for Trump, but experts figured out why : Undecided voters ultimately broke heavily for Trump; most state polls overrepresented college graduates; and turnout was higher than expected in many rural counties but lower in urban ones.

Lost in the shuffle, meanwhile, was that national polls in were quite accurate by historical standards. The midterms brought further evidence that polling still works well when done carefully. House of Representatives ended up being 9 points in the final vote, versus an average of 7 points in the final polls. Do people sometimes lie to pollsters? But the notion that Trump supporters were unwilling to express their support to pollsters was overblown, given the scant evidence to support it.

Later, a researcher from Yale and Pew Research Center conducted separate tests that also found little to no evidence in support of the claim. A systematic miss in election polls is more likely than people think.

State-level outcomes are highly correlated with one another, so polling errors in one state are likely to repeat in other, similar states. As Nate Silver has explained , if Clinton was going to fall short of her standing in the polls in Pennsylvania, she was also likely to underperform in demographically similar states such as Wisconsin and Michigan.

In , most of the forecasters trying to predict the election outcome underestimated the extent to which polling errors were correlated from one state to another. Forecasters are more aware of this issue than they were four years ago, but they do not have a foolproof way to overcome it. National polls are better at giving Americans equal voice than predicting the Electoral College. This happens when the national popular vote winner e. Bush, Donald Trump. In fact, national polls try to gauge the opinions of all Americans, regardless of whether they live in a battleground state like Pennsylvania, a reliably red state like Idaho, or a reliably blue state like Rhode Island.

In short, national polls tell us what the entire citizenry is thinking. Fortunately, this is not how most pollsters view the world. Say "Alexa, enable the Pew Research Center flash briefing". It organizes the public into nine distinct groups, based on an analysis of their attitudes and values.

Even in a polarized era, the survey reveals deep divisions in both partisan coalitions. Pew Research Center now uses as the last birth year for Millennials in our work. President Michael Dimock explains why. The vast majority of U. Use this tool to compare the groups on some key topics and their demographics.

About Pew Research Center Pew Research Center is a nonpartisan fact tank that informs the public about the issues, attitudes and trends shaping the world. It conducts public opinion polling, demographic research, media content analysis and other empirical social science research. Pew Research Center does not take policy positions. It is a subsidiary of The Pew Charitable Trusts.



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